Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.183278 0.212177 0.244129 0.282080 0.325932 0.375023 0.434170
2025-09-07 0.137912 0.176662 0.223967 0.285972 0.365149 0.462951 0.593090
2025-09-14 0.109890 0.151011 0.204777 0.280242 0.383529 0.520128 0.714873
2025-09-21 0.092050 0.133956 0.191904 0.277911 0.402483 0.576667 0.839381
2025-09-28 0.080277 0.122768 0.184445 0.280527 0.426684 0.641149 0.980798
2025-10-05 0.073955 0.118237 0.185363 0.294562 0.468125 0.734039 1.173974
2025-10-12 0.067727 0.112763 0.183788 0.303995 0.502863 0.819792 1.365481
2025-10-19 0.062083 0.107321 0.181330 0.311261 0.534345 0.903077 1.561874
2025-10-26 0.056483 0.101133 0.176727 0.314071 0.558211 0.975760 1.748044
2025-11-02 0.050647 0.093738 0.169089 0.310491 0.570210 1.028928 1.905503
2025-11-09 0.044657 0.085291 0.158556 0.300329 0.568941 1.058071 2.022163
2025-11-16 0.041784 0.082231 0.157325 0.306952 0.598971 1.146431 2.257859
2025-11-23 0.038386 0.077843 0.153268 0.308016 0.619103 1.219528 2.475023
2025-11-30 0.035711 0.074559 0.150959 0.312233 0.645911 1.308418 2.734112
2025-12-07 0.032223 0.069188 0.143897 0.305977 0.650735 1.354116 2.910185
2025-12-14 0.029510 0.065098 0.138942 0.303433 0.662789 1.415444 3.125519
2025-12-21 0.027580 0.062452 0.136676 0.306288 0.686531 1.503392 3.407843
2025-12-28 0.026877 0.062422 0.139968 0.321613 0.739157 1.658484 3.856106
2026-01-04 0.025800 0.061410 0.140984 0.331912 0.781591 1.795588 4.279091
2026-01-11 0.024620 0.060019 0.140985 0.339846 0.819411 1.926185 4.701691
2026-01-18 0.023195 0.057878 0.139023 0.342914 0.846051 2.033761 5.081524
2026-01-25 0.021448 0.054746 0.134392 0.339005 0.855382 2.101489 5.371617
2026-02-01 0.019435 0.050720 0.127180 0.327909 0.845698 2.122361 5.546823